Oregon’s Estimated Impacts of H.R. 1
This report provides an initial fiscal analysis of how H.R. 1 (the “One Big Beautiful Bill”) will affect the state’s federally funded programs across agencies, estimating multi-billion-dollar reductions in SNAP, Medicaid, education, and infrastructure revenues.
The analysis projects that Oregon will lose over $1 billion in federal funding in the 2025–27 biennium and more than $8 billion by 2031, driven largely by expanded SNAP work requirements, reduced federal match rates, and Medicaid work reporting mandates.
It details program-by-program impacts—including higher state cost shares for SNAP benefits and administration, elimination of SNAP-Ed, rescission of key transportation and forestry grants, and reduced funding for libraries and rural health systems—while noting that implementation costs and staffing needs are not yet included. The report concludes that H.R. 1 will significantly increase administrative complexity, strain state budgets, and require new IT systems, eligibility staff, and coordination across agencies to maintain service delivery.
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